Greg Truby
MrExcel MVP
- Joined
- Jun 19, 2002
- Messages
- 10,030
Denis,
Both the U.S.'s primary election system (to choose each party's candidate) and the electoral college system result in some interesting imbalances in distribution of the candidates' time. In the general election, states like Iowa & New Hampshire get some attention but not a lot. Their number of electors is low enough that losing either or both would seldom put an election in jeapordy. However they get an extreme amount of attention during the primary season because their primaries are the earliest and winning them boosts the candidate's credibility (which helps in fundraising, but may or may not be a good indicator of later success).
Due to the electoral college system, McCain basically ceded California (#1 in electoral votes) & New York (#3) to Obama and Obama essentially ceded Texas (#2) to McCain. However, Florida was not so lucky. Being #4 and winnable by either, it got lots of attention.
I grew up in Kansas, which (a) has few electoral votes and (b) has only voted democratic in two presidential elections in the past century. This means that I saw virtually zero presidental ad campaigns growing up. Indeed, the center strip of Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota & North Dakota are pretty much ceded by the Democrats from the start. None of them has voted Democratic more than once since 1940. Although Nebraska is a bit of an odd duck -- they are the only state to have a unicameral legislature and they (along with Maine) are the only states that do not allocate their electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis.
Contrast Kansas to my current residence of Missouri. Missouri is frequently one of a handful of "battleground" states. We were frequently visited by both candidates and the barrage of ads on TV and radio was truly unrelenting. I, for one, am looking forward to a few weeks with no political ads!
Personally, I have not sensed a great deal of jitters on the part of most folks in my neck of the woods. I think most Americans could see the writing on the wall. If you know anything about politics and looked at the electoral map, the string of states that McCain would have had to have won to make it to 270 electors was so improbable that few had any real expectation that he would pull if off. Obama could afford to lose one or two or three key states and still could get to 270. McCain had zero cushion.
Both the U.S.'s primary election system (to choose each party's candidate) and the electoral college system result in some interesting imbalances in distribution of the candidates' time. In the general election, states like Iowa & New Hampshire get some attention but not a lot. Their number of electors is low enough that losing either or both would seldom put an election in jeapordy. However they get an extreme amount of attention during the primary season because their primaries are the earliest and winning them boosts the candidate's credibility (which helps in fundraising, but may or may not be a good indicator of later success).
Due to the electoral college system, McCain basically ceded California (#1 in electoral votes) & New York (#3) to Obama and Obama essentially ceded Texas (#2) to McCain. However, Florida was not so lucky. Being #4 and winnable by either, it got lots of attention.
I grew up in Kansas, which (a) has few electoral votes and (b) has only voted democratic in two presidential elections in the past century. This means that I saw virtually zero presidental ad campaigns growing up. Indeed, the center strip of Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota & North Dakota are pretty much ceded by the Democrats from the start. None of them has voted Democratic more than once since 1940. Although Nebraska is a bit of an odd duck -- they are the only state to have a unicameral legislature and they (along with Maine) are the only states that do not allocate their electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis.
Contrast Kansas to my current residence of Missouri. Missouri is frequently one of a handful of "battleground" states. We were frequently visited by both candidates and the barrage of ads on TV and radio was truly unrelenting. I, for one, am looking forward to a few weeks with no political ads!
I think "jitters" would be the word to describe America today.
Personally, I have not sensed a great deal of jitters on the part of most folks in my neck of the woods. I think most Americans could see the writing on the wall. If you know anything about politics and looked at the electoral map, the string of states that McCain would have had to have won to make it to 270 electors was so improbable that few had any real expectation that he would pull if off. Obama could afford to lose one or two or three key states and still could get to 270. McCain had zero cushion.
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