OK.
So what is the logic behind the manipulation you have done to the source data ?
Is there some maths behind it, or is it your own subjective view of what the numbers "should" be ?
If it's just your own subjective view, then I don't see how we can help you.
Are you familiar with concepts like regression analysis ?
They might help you, for example
Regression analysis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
I'm not saying this type of regression analysis is right for you, I don't know enough about what you're trying to do.
My point is, there are several (indeed many) statistical methods of "smoothing" data like yours.
You need to decide for yourself which of these is best for you.
Then, if you're having trouble doing the actual calculations, we might be able to help you do them in Excel.
ALSO, bear in mind that standard Excel charts include trend options.