Intrest v Drawdown Calculation Required

SimonHughes

Well-known Member
Joined
Sep 16, 2009
Messages
507
Office Version
  1. 365
Platform
  1. Windows
Hello All, a very basic question - I would like to calculate the value of an investment, say £100,000 which is growing at a nominal rate, say 3% per annum with an annual drawdown at another nominal rate, say 4%. The objective is to see how long the money lasts at differing interest/drawdown rates. I will make the values all variables and will reference the cells but I am stumped for the basic calculation.

Thanks in advance!
Just noticed typo in the thread title - I do know how to spell interest but cannot edit it.
 

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I entered your title in a Google search and got 535,000 hits for doing the calculations without knowing the formula I guess. If you want the formula, add the word Excel and it jumps to 900K+.

Did you try that?
 
Upvote 0
What result do you expect with the information that you presented?
N.B. You can post a concise extract of your sheet with the forum's tool named XL2BB.

Review and edit the following:


T202404.xlsm
ABCDE
1
2Principal100,000.00$2.61
3Rate3%
4Drawdown4%
5
6YearInterestDrawdown100,000.00
713,000.004,000.0099,000.00
822,970.003,960.0098,010.00
932,940.303,920.4097,029.90
1d
Cell Formulas
RangeFormula
E2E2=FV(C3-C4,1050,,-C2)
D6D6=C2
B7:B9B7=D6*$C$3
C7:C9C7=D6*$C$4
D7:D9D7=D6+B7-C7
 
Upvote 0
Solution
What result do you expect with the information that you presented?
N.B. You can post a concise extract of your sheet with the forum's tool named XL2BB.

Review and edit the following:

First, thanks for the response. What I want to do is to calculate, within various growth and drawdown scenarios, is how long will an initial investment last. I have looked at your formula, and the only thing I do not understand is the nper value of 1050 - can you explain that to me? Also, what are the value (£2.61) dependents? It reduces to zero if I change the growth rate or capital value significantly and I am not sure what it signifies.
 
Upvote 0
"I have looked at your formula, and the only thing I do not understand is the nper value of 1050 - can you explain that to me? Also, what are the value (£2.61) dependents? It reduces to zero if I change the growth rate or capital value significantly and I am not sure what it signifies."

If you review/extend the sample calculations for 1050 rows, the balance will be down to 2.61. The amount continue to decrease by each year.

The 1050 is just the number I picked since the balance was down to just 2.61.

Please review your requirement and try the formulas with some of your test data.
There may be other formulas or ways to achieve what you require.
 
Upvote 0
Mathematically speaking you'll never reach 0 exactly. However, you can define a relatively small threshold say 1 instead. The equation to solve for the number of periods when the fund dips below 1 threshold is
Screen Shot 2024-04-05 at 6.54.54 PM.png

In general, the formula is this where n= number of periods, P is the principal amount, i% is the interest rate, d% is the drawback rate, and k is the threshold.
Screen Shot 2024-04-05 at 6.57.09 PM.png
 
Upvote 0
"I have looked at your formula, and the only thing I do not understand is the nper value of 1050 - can you explain that to me? Also, what are the value (£2.61) dependents? It reduces to zero if I change the growth rate or capital value significantly and I am not sure what it signifies."

If you review/extend the sample calculations for 1050 rows, the balance will be down to 2.61. The amount continue to decrease by each year.

The 1050 is just the number I picked since the balance was down to just 2.61.

Please review your requirement and try the formulas with some of your test data.
There may be other formulas or ways to achieve what you require.
Hi Dave, got it and many thanks. I have tinkered with this by adding an inflation rate and got it up to speed. I am next going to do a calculator that shows fund longevity with a fixed drawdown value. Again, thanks for your help
 
Upvote 0
Mathematically speaking you'll never reach 0 exactly. However, you can define a relatively small threshold say 1 instead. The equation to solve for the number of periods when the fund dips below 1 threshold is
View attachment 109564
In general, the formula is this where n= number of periods, P is the principal amount, i% is the interest rate, d% is the drawback rate, and k is the threshold.
View attachment 109565
Thanks Cubist but this is too much for me - but I appreciate your response.
 
Upvote 0
Thanks Cubist but this is too much for me - but I appreciate your response.
No problem. It's a simple Excel implementation. Maybe this will help. See cell E3. You can validate the answer by dragging the formulas down until the year 1146. The ending balance in D should be less than 1 beyond this point.

Book1
ABCDEF
1Threshhold1
2Principal100000$2.61
3Rate0.031145.52644
4Drawdown0.04
5
6YearInterestDrawdown100000
713000400099000
822970396098010
932940.33920.497029.9
10
Sheet6
Cell Formulas
RangeFormula
E2E2=FV(C3-C4,1050,,-C2)
E3E3=LN(C1/C2)/LN(1+C3-C4)
D6D6=C2
B7:B9B7=D6*$C$3
C7:C9C7=D6*$C$4
D7:D9D7=D6+B7-C7
 
Upvote 0
You could also experiment with Goal Seek.
T202404.xlsm
ABCDEF
1458.21058
2Principal100,000.001,000.00Goal Seek
3Rate3%1,000.00Goal Seek
4Drawdown4%
5
1d
Cell Formulas
RangeFormula
E2E2=FV(C3-C4,D1,,-C2)
E3E3=C2*(1+0.03-0.04)^D1
 
Upvote 0

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