Forecasting given target for Year+1 and Year+2

Brounoh

New Member
Joined
Sep 23, 2018
Messages
1
Good evening,

I need some help as I cannot find anything relevant on Google or the forum.

Here is my situation:

January 1st 2019, I'll open a new business; I plan on
  • signing 5,000 users the 1st month (A2=5,000)
  • have accumulated 500,000 users by end of December 2019 (L2=500,000)
  • reach 3,000,000 accumulated users by end of December 2020 (X2=3,000,000)

[TABLE="width: 600"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]A[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]B[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]D[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]E[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]H[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]J[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]K[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]M[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]N[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]O[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]P[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Q[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]R[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]T[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]U[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]V[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]X[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]Jan-19[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]Dec-19[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]Dec-20[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5,000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]500,000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,000,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5,000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]500,000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,000,000[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

I would like to get a non-linear forecast for B:K , and then for M:W . Some sort of exponential growth that gives me the values for B:K , and then for M:W .

I tried the following:
  • filled in B2:K2 with a simple linear forecast =(L2-A2) / counta(A1:L1) added to each month
  • in array B3:K3 use =GROWTH(A2:L2,A1:L1)
  • then do that again for section L:X

Row 3 is ultimately what I want to use, however I am not satisfied by the result I am getting with GROWTH().

Anyone has a suggestion please?
 

Excel Facts

Which Excel functions can ignore hidden rows?
The SUBTOTAL and AGGREGATE functions ignore hidden rows. AGGREGATE can also exclude error cells and more.
Hello,

You could insert a chart and then, in the layout, pick any type of trendline ... in order to get the equation you are looking for ...

The exponential equation I just got is : y = 5E-168 ^e0.0091 x with R² = 0.9262 ...

Hope this will help
 
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