Forecast Function - Negative Values

ChetanPuri

Board Regular
Joined
Sep 5, 2018
Messages
97
Office Version
  1. 365
Platform
  1. Windows
Hello Excel Community,

I have a question regarding excel forecast function, I am using prior year actual data from Column D 2 to BO 20 but when I use forecast.ets function in column BQ 2 onwards, forecast for March 2024 to June 2025 is in negative. Does anyone know, how to fix the issue or to ignore all negatives and 0 values so my forecast only have positive numbers.

Book1
DEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBMBNBOBPBQ
1Jul-2019Aug-2019Sep-2019Oct-2019Nov-2019Dec-2019Jan-2020Feb-2020Mar-2020Apr-2020May-2020Jun-2020TotalJul-2020Aug-2020Sep-2020Oct-2020Nov-2020Dec-2020Jan-2021Feb-2021Mar-2021Apr-2021May-2021Jun-2021TotalJul-2021Aug-2021Sep-2021Oct-2021Nov-2021Dec-2021Jan-2022Feb-2022Mar-2022Apr-2022May-2022Jun-2022TotalJul-2022Aug-2022Sep-2022Oct-2022Nov-2022Dec-2022Jan-2023Feb-2023Mar-2023Apr-2023May-2023Jun-2023TotalJul-2023Aug-2023Sep-2023Oct-2023Nov-2023Dec-2023Jan-2024Feb-2024Mar-2024
150.000.000.000.000.00102,336.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0014,812.66202,428.6622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.560.000.000.000.00181,724.4816,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.737,255.64190,270.6713,189.2913,189.290.0026,378.5813,189.2913,189.2913,189.2913,189.290.000.000.000.00105,514.320.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-672.22
180.000.000.000.000.0082,498.0013,749.6713,749.6713,749.6713,749.6713,749.6783,971.29235,217.6419,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.070.000.000.000.00159,704.5618,718.1218,718.120.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0037,436.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-1,703.83
190.000.000.000.000.0066,032.0011,005.4211,005.4211,005.4211,005.4211,005.4239,299.31160,358.4119,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.180.000.000.000.00157,361.4418,542.7518,542.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0037,085.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-971.65
200.000.000.000.000.0095,145.0015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5072.39174,504.8919,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.500.000.000.000.00153,644.0012,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7339,634.63178,143.660.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-11,483.08
230.000.000.000.000.00101,196.0016,865.9216,865.9216,865.9216,865.9216,865.9211,747.21197,272.8123,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.850.000.000.000.00191,622.8018,175.6318,175.630.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0036,351.260.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-1,507.97
240.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.442,733.4711,517.100.007,302.065,298.736,638.160.000.001,302.03720.19905.981,037.9737,455.690.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-411.72
260.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.443,416.8314,396.380.009,127.576,623.428,297.707,795.457,509.116,510.163,600.934,529.925,189.8776,997.340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-2,396.84
270.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.443,416.8314,396.380.009,127.576,623.428,297.707,795.457,509.110.000.000.000.0057,166.460.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-291.04
280.000.000.000.000.000.0033,374.284,310.486,928.647,259.545,264.198,997.4166,134.546,685.785,360.216,793.097,916.665,425.026,291.866,677.105,307.540.000.000.000.0050,457.265,304.009,086.676,680.518,178.995,404.955,420.946,517.905,557.793,995.707,786.294,776.645,249.4873,959.862,050.108,637.830.005,476.543,974.054,978.623,118.183,003.642,604.061,440.371,811.972,075.9539,171.310.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-35.92
Forecast
Cell Formulas
RangeFormula
E1:O1,BI1:BO1,AU1:BE1,AG1:AQ1,S1:AC1E1=EOMONTH(D1,1)
BQ1BQ1=DATE(YEAR(BO1),MONTH(BO1)+2,0)
BQ15,BQ18:BQ20,BQ23:BQ24,BQ26:BQ28BQ15=FORECAST.ETS(BQ$1,$D15:$BO15,$D$1:$BO$1)
Cells with Conditional Formatting
CellConditionCell FormatStop If True
BH1:BO1,BQ1:BT1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
AT1:BF1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
AF1:AR1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
D1:P1,R1:AD1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
 

Excel Facts

Lock one reference in a formula
Need 1 part of a formula to always point to the same range? use $ signs: $V$2:$Z$99 will always point to V2:Z99, even after copying
not an expert on the forecast function used a few times
BUT in the help section it says

Timeline: is the independent array or range of numeric data. The dates in the timeline must have a consistent step between them and can't be zero.

you have zeros in the range....
  • Timeline Required. The independent array or range of numeric data. The dates in the timeline must have a consistent step between them and can’t be zero. The timeline isn't required to be sorted, as FORECAST.ETS will sort it implicitly for calculations. If a constant step can't be identified in the provided timeline, Forecast.ETS will return the #NUM! error. If timeline contains duplicate values, FORECAST.ETS will return the #VALUE! error. If the ranges of the timeline and values aren't of same size, FORECAST.ETS will return the #N/A error.
 
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