Forecast Function - Negative Values

ChetanPuri

Board Regular
Joined
Sep 5, 2018
Messages
70
Office Version
  1. 365
Platform
  1. Windows
Hello Excel Community,

I have a question regarding excel forecast function, I am using prior year actual data from Column D 2 to BO 20 but when I use forecast.ets function in column BQ 2 onwards, forecast for March 2024 to June 2025 is in negative. Does anyone know, how to fix the issue or to ignore all negatives and 0 values so my forecast only have positive numbers.

Book1
DEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBMBNBOBPBQ
1Jul-2019Aug-2019Sep-2019Oct-2019Nov-2019Dec-2019Jan-2020Feb-2020Mar-2020Apr-2020May-2020Jun-2020TotalJul-2020Aug-2020Sep-2020Oct-2020Nov-2020Dec-2020Jan-2021Feb-2021Mar-2021Apr-2021May-2021Jun-2021TotalJul-2021Aug-2021Sep-2021Oct-2021Nov-2021Dec-2021Jan-2022Feb-2022Mar-2022Apr-2022May-2022Jun-2022TotalJul-2022Aug-2022Sep-2022Oct-2022Nov-2022Dec-2022Jan-2023Feb-2023Mar-2023Apr-2023May-2023Jun-2023TotalJul-2023Aug-2023Sep-2023Oct-2023Nov-2023Dec-2023Jan-2024Feb-2024Mar-2024
150.000.000.000.000.00102,336.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0017,056.0014,812.66202,428.6622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.5622,715.560.000.000.000.00181,724.4816,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.7316,637.737,255.64190,270.6713,189.2913,189.290.0026,378.5813,189.2913,189.2913,189.2913,189.290.000.000.000.00105,514.320.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-672.22
180.000.000.000.000.0082,498.0013,749.6713,749.6713,749.6713,749.6713,749.6783,971.29235,217.6419,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.0719,963.070.000.000.000.00159,704.5618,718.1218,718.120.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0037,436.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-1,703.83
190.000.000.000.000.0066,032.0011,005.4211,005.4211,005.4211,005.4211,005.4239,299.31160,358.4119,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.1819,670.180.000.000.000.00157,361.4418,542.7518,542.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0037,085.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-971.65
200.000.000.000.000.0095,145.0015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5015,857.5072.39174,504.8919,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.5019,205.500.000.000.000.00153,644.0012,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7312,591.7339,634.63178,143.660.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-11,483.08
230.000.000.000.000.00101,196.0016,865.9216,865.9216,865.9216,865.9216,865.9211,747.21197,272.8123,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.8523,952.850.000.000.000.00191,622.8018,175.6318,175.630.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0036,351.260.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-1,507.97
240.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.442,733.4711,517.100.007,302.065,298.736,638.160.000.001,302.03720.19905.981,037.9737,455.690.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-411.72
260.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.443,416.8314,396.380.009,127.576,623.428,297.707,795.457,509.116,510.163,600.934,529.925,189.8776,997.340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-2,396.84
270.000.000.000.000.000.0055,623.807,184.1411,547.7312,099.238,773.6514,995.69110,224.2411,142.978,933.6911,321.8113,194.439,041.7010,486.4411,128.508,845.890.000.000.000.0084,095.438,840.0015,144.4511,134.1813,631.659,008.259,034.9010,863.179,262.996,659.5012,977.157,961.068,749.14123,266.443,416.8314,396.380.009,127.576,623.428,297.707,795.457,509.110.000.000.000.0057,166.460.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-291.04
280.000.000.000.000.000.0033,374.284,310.486,928.647,259.545,264.198,997.4166,134.546,685.785,360.216,793.097,916.665,425.026,291.866,677.105,307.540.000.000.000.0050,457.265,304.009,086.676,680.518,178.995,404.955,420.946,517.905,557.793,995.707,786.294,776.645,249.4873,959.862,050.108,637.830.005,476.543,974.054,978.623,118.183,003.642,604.061,440.371,811.972,075.9539,171.310.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-35.92
Forecast
Cell Formulas
RangeFormula
E1:O1,BI1:BO1,AU1:BE1,AG1:AQ1,S1:AC1E1=EOMONTH(D1,1)
BQ1BQ1=DATE(YEAR(BO1),MONTH(BO1)+2,0)
BQ15,BQ18:BQ20,BQ23:BQ24,BQ26:BQ28BQ15=FORECAST.ETS(BQ$1,$D15:$BO15,$D$1:$BO$1)
Cells with Conditional Formatting
CellConditionCell FormatStop If True
BH1:BO1,BQ1:BT1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
AT1:BF1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
AF1:AR1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
D1:P1,R1:AD1Expression=$D$2>#REF!textNO
 

Excel Facts

Which Excel functions can ignore hidden rows?
The SUBTOTAL and AGGREGATE functions ignore hidden rows. AGGREGATE can also exclude error cells and more.
not an expert on the forecast function used a few times
BUT in the help section it says

Timeline: is the independent array or range of numeric data. The dates in the timeline must have a consistent step between them and can't be zero.

you have zeros in the range....
  • Timeline Required. The independent array or range of numeric data. The dates in the timeline must have a consistent step between them and can’t be zero. The timeline isn't required to be sorted, as FORECAST.ETS will sort it implicitly for calculations. If a constant step can't be identified in the provided timeline, Forecast.ETS will return the #NUM! error. If timeline contains duplicate values, FORECAST.ETS will return the #VALUE! error. If the ranges of the timeline and values aren't of same size, FORECAST.ETS will return the #N/A error.
 
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