Average forecast performance x number of days out from actual

aussiecraigo

New Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2016
Messages
2
I want to be able to measure the performance of a forecast model that I have created trying to predict the number of visitors we will get each day.

To explain my below worksheet:
* As of midnight on 1 June 2022, I had predicted 665 visitors to visit during the day on 1 June. We ended with an actual of 655 so on the day of, my forecast was 1.5% over the actual.
* As of midnight on 1 June 2022, I had predicted 565 visitors for 2 June 2022 and we ended up with an actual of 662 so 1 day out my forecast was -14.6% under the actual.
* As of midnight on 2 June 2022, I had predicted 585 visitors for 2 June 2022 and we ended up with an actual of 662 so on the day of my forecast was -11.6% under the actual.

What I'd like to be able to do is average my forecast % +/- performance on the day of, 1 day out, 2 days out, 3 days out and so on, up until 7 days out.
Essentially, if you look at the % screenshot, I'd like to be able to average automatically, the light blues, the light greens, the yellows etc. The will be data added almost everyday and all new data would need to be included in the averages.
In the last screenshot, is a table on how I'd like to report the average % +/- (I have just manually average the appropriate cells).

I hope that I'm making sense and there might be someone out there who can help me.

Any assistance or advice would be appreciated.

Thank you.... :)

1654729639182.png

1654729515100.png


1654730633832.png
 

Excel Facts

Did you know Excel offers Filter by Selection?
Add the AutoFilter icon to the Quick Access Toolbar. Select a cell containing Apple, click AutoFilter, and you will get all rows with Apple
I should also mention that in the percentage calculation (the 2nd screenshot), I have a formula reporting 'blank' if there isn't a forecast or an actual (we are closed every Tuesday).
 
Upvote 0

Forum statistics

Threads
1,223,894
Messages
6,175,254
Members
452,624
Latest member
gregg777

We've detected that you are using an adblocker.

We have a great community of people providing Excel help here, but the hosting costs are enormous. You can help keep this site running by allowing ads on MrExcel.com.
Allow Ads at MrExcel

Which adblocker are you using?

Disable AdBlock

Follow these easy steps to disable AdBlock

1)Click on the icon in the browser’s toolbar.
2)Click on the icon in the browser’s toolbar.
2)Click on the "Pause on this site" option.
Go back

Disable AdBlock Plus

Follow these easy steps to disable AdBlock Plus

1)Click on the icon in the browser’s toolbar.
2)Click on the toggle to disable it for "mrexcel.com".
Go back

Disable uBlock Origin

Follow these easy steps to disable uBlock Origin

1)Click on the icon in the browser’s toolbar.
2)Click on the "Power" button.
3)Click on the "Refresh" button.
Go back

Disable uBlock

Follow these easy steps to disable uBlock

1)Click on the icon in the browser’s toolbar.
2)Click on the "Power" button.
3)Click on the "Refresh" button.
Go back
Back
Top